Allegra & Howard's Blog

July 10th, 2011 7:27 PM

    Shadow Inventory          South Florida           U.S.

 As of 4th Qtr 2010           441,461        2,777,247

Share of U.S. Shadow         15.9%            N/A

Months of Supply                    28.8              12.0

More information on the OMB's geographic definitions can be found at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/inforeg_statpolicy/

A concern of many in the real estate field is the amount of inventory that banks have on their books, but have not yet released to the market. This shadow inventory consists of homes near default or already in bank possession, but not listed for sale. A large influx of inventory from this shadow population would place downward pressure on home prices. Bank representatives state that they are not holding back inventory.  Statistical evidence suggests that foreclosures are often priced well below comparable non-distressed properties and move quickly after entering the market as a result.

The shadow inventory for South Florida is 441,461 properties which accounts for roughly 15.9% of the total shadow inventory for the United States. This represents 28.8 months of supply assuming that the shadow inventory sells at roughly the current rate of sales for foreclosed homes. For more information on how the shadow inventory was calculated, see the article "State by State Estimate of Shadow Inventory" by Economist Selma Hepp of NAR Research at http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org 


Posted by Howard J. Willis on July 10th, 2011 7:27 PMPost a Comment (0)

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     Allegra Garces Willis  

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